Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 122.138292 139.122033 157.924963 180.338806 206.398170 235.821781 271.674257
2025-12-14 96.598258 118.311716 144.395083 178.236749 221.273429 274.560417 346.129787
2025-12-21 83.358551 107.481629 138.198736 180.582434 238.172107 314.594924 425.190759
2025-12-28 75.978162 102.174989 137.173117 188.008711 261.059117 363.929855 522.794951
2026-01-04 69.235256 96.459721 134.337109 191.823594 278.524965 407.126462 617.506904
2026-01-11 62.343462 89.511651 128.644883 190.329678 287.366030 438.026968 697.478029
2026-01-18 58.204596 85.961367 127.270110 194.768785 305.324221 484.731913 809.601114
2026-01-25 53.569847 81.099142 123.264918 194.398313 315.189787 519.184139 905.892166
2026-02-01 50.109272 77.652576 121.004604 196.399154 328.944435 561.605678 1022.881108
2026-02-08 45.952829 72.672276 115.738858 192.665529 332.115226 585.467760 1108.436271
2026-02-15 43.290616 69.863225 113.723895 194.205767 344.704840 627.909860 1237.299213
2026-02-22 40.987515 67.429445 112.072954 196.127919 358.083024 673.411451 1380.087740
2026-03-01 37.092725 62.205351 105.577296 189.386752 355.848709 691.443951 1475.773901
2026-03-08 34.255250 58.605281 101.666805 187.174627 362.544849 729.451229 1626.500852
2026-03-15 32.390161 56.546706 100.305658 189.653725 379.052545 790.851319 1846.393396
2026-03-22 31.394432 55.964002 101.592693 197.502401 407.977270 884.607032 2169.666244
2026-03-29 30.015488 54.522327 101.071065 201.535108 429.119461 964.249164 2476.807674
2026-04-05 28.139336 51.953689 98.080047 199.955825 437.266965 1014.151438 2715.019922
2026-04-12 27.088994 50.897688 97.995084 204.648850 460.762386 1106.531113 3101.731512
2026-04-19 25.625070 48.887196 95.758526 204.257158 471.898569 1169.048605 3415.548641
2026-04-26 24.514958 47.497503 94.679498 206.372665 489.600118 1252.571616 3821.478121
2026-05-03 22.968361 45.079558 91.189742 202.425192 491.155970 1291.553089 4090.089958
2026-05-10 22.007588 43.813036 90.079578 204.053585 507.696873 1376.926901 4548.755705